Risk-Adjusted Business Case: Scenarios, Expected NPV & Sensitivity
This lesson is part of the course
In this lesson
You turn Larkspur Home's company-wide AI rollout into three probability-weighted scenarios, calculate the expected NPV and the chance of a loss, and test how sensitive the base case is to the benefit.
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Lessons in this course
- Tokens & Cost per Request: Input vs Output Pricing Locked
- Monthly LLM Cost Forecast: Users × Requests × Tokens Locked
- Model Choice: Cost vs Quality vs Latency Scorecard Locked
- Automation Savings: Hours Saved × Loaded Rate − Tool Cost Locked
- AI Project ROI & Payback: Build Cost, Run Cost, Benefit Ramp Locked
- Human-in-the-Loop: Review Cost vs the Cost of Errors Locked
- Caching & Batching: Cutting the Token Bill Locked
- Risk-Adjusted Business Case: Scenarios, Expected NPV & Sensitivity Locked