Power Law: Portfolio Size vs the Chance of a Big Winner (Chart)
This lesson is part of the course
In this lesson
You calculate how the chance of holding at least one 30x outcome grows with the number of deals, find the smallest portfolio for a 50 % chance, and chart the curve.
Buy the course once for $9.99 to unlock every lesson and lab, the final exam and the certificate – lifetime access, no subscription.
Lessons in this course
- Pre-Money, Post-Money, Price per Share & Your Ownership Locked
- SAFE Conversion: Valuation Cap vs Discount (the MIN Price) Locked
- Convertible Notes: Accrued Interest, Cap, Discount & Shares Locked
- Dilution Across Rounds & the Option Pool Shuffle Locked
- Pro-Rata Rights & the Cost of Following On Locked
- Exit Waterfall: 1x Non-Participating Preferences (Chart) Locked
- Power Law: Portfolio Size vs the Chance of a Big Winner (Chart) Locked
- Portfolio Multiple & XIRR with Uneven Exits Locked