Marginal Seats: Margins, the Swing Needed to Flip and the Target List
This lesson is part of the course
In this lesson
Before the first result arrives you build the desk's target list: the margin in every seat, the swing that would flip it, a marginality ranking and how many seats each party loses at a test swing.
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Lessons in this course
- Turnout: Ballots Cast, Valid Votes, District Rankings & the Overall Rate Locked
- Vote Shares & Winners: Who Won, by How Much, and Who Came Second Locked
- Change Since Last Time: Share Changes in Points and the Two-Party Swing Locked
- Marginal Seats: Margins, the Swing Needed to Flip and the Target List Locked
- Uniform Swing: Applying a National Change to Every District and Projecting Seats Locked
- Partial Results: Reporting Bias, Weighted Changes and a Projected Final Share Locked
- Votes vs Seats: Seat Shares, Bonuses and Penalties and the Disproportionality Index Locked
- Capstone: The Results Dashboard – Seat Totals, Gains, the Biggest Swing and a Chart Locked