Cohort Projection, Step 2: Births from Fictional Rates and Net Migration by Band
This lesson is part of the course
In this lesson
You estimate five years of births from fictional rates per 1,000 in the bands 15–49, turn them into the new 0–4 band, spread net migration over the bands with a fixed profile and total the projected 2031 population.
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Lessons in this course
- The Age-Band Profile: Counts, Shares, the Median Band and the 65+ Share Locked
- Crude Rates per 1,000: Births, Deaths, Natural Increase and Net Migration Locked
- Components of Change: the Balancing Equation, Residuals and Where Growth Comes From Locked
- Cohort Projection, Step 1: Moving Every Band Forward Five Years with Survival Ratios Locked
- Cohort Projection, Step 2: Births from Fictional Rates and Net Migration by Band Locked
- Ten- and Twenty-Year Projections: Repeating the Step, Following a Cohort, Measuring Ageing Locked
- Dependency Ratios & Service Demand: Young and Old Ratios, School-Age Counts and Classes Needed Locked
- Scenario Dashboard: Low, Central and High Migration Compared in a Table and a Chart Locked