Card Draws without Replacement: Chance of a Key Card, Deck Size and Expected Copies
This lesson is part of the course
In this lesson
You calculate draw by draw the chance of missing the key card, the chance of having at least one copy after each draw, how a bigger deck changes it and how many copies you expect in the opening hand – without any special functions.
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Lessons in this course
- One and Two Dice: the 6×6 Outcome Grid, Ways per Sum and the Distribution Chart Locked
- More Dice by Convolution: Ways for 2 and 3 Dice, Probabilities and the Expected Sum Locked
- Target Numbers: Chance to Reach a Target, a Difficulty Table and Repeated Tries Locked
- Advantage & Disadvantage: Best and Worst of Two Rolls, Chances and Averages Locked
- Expected Damage: Hit Chance × Damage after Armour and Turns to Defeat Locked
- Card Draws without Replacement: Chance of a Key Card, Deck Size and Expected Copies Locked
- Point-Cost Balancing: Value Scores, Fair Costs, Over- and Under-Costed Units Locked
- Capstone: Playtest Analysis – Wins by Faction, First-Player Advantage and a Balance Chart Locked