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Elo ratings: expected score, K-factor & rating update

Lesson 5 of 815 minLab

This lesson is part of the course

In this lesson

You update the Elo ratings of eight Harbor League clubs after matchday 8: result score, expected score with home advantage, and the new ratings for both clubs.

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Lessons in this course

  1. League table from match results: points, goal difference & tiebreaksLab16 min Locked
  2. Per-90 and per-game stats: fair comparisonsLab13 min Locked
  3. Shooting efficiency: eFG% and true shooting % (basketball)Lab14 min Locked
  4. Expected goals (xG): sums, over- and under-performanceLab15 min Locked
  5. Elo ratings: expected score, K-factor & rating updateLab15 min Locked
  6. Pythagorean expectation: win % from points for and againstLab14 min Locked
  7. Player comparison: z-scores & a weighted composite scoreLab16 min Locked
  8. Home advantage & match prediction with Poisson goalsLab18 min Locked