Pythagorean expectation: win % from points for and against
This lesson is part of the course
In this lesson
You compare each Harbor Basketball League team's real win % with the win % its points for and against "deserve", find the lucky and unlucky teams and chart both.
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Lessons in this course
- League table from match results: points, goal difference & tiebreaks Locked
- Per-90 and per-game stats: fair comparisons Locked
- Shooting efficiency: eFG% and true shooting % (basketball) Locked
- Expected goals (xG): sums, over- and under-performance Locked
- Elo ratings: expected score, K-factor & rating update Locked
- Pythagorean expectation: win % from points for and against Locked
- Player comparison: z-scores & a weighted composite score Locked
- Home advantage & match prediction with Poisson goals Locked